NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY POR
Points 116.5 105.3
Total Points   221.8
Points From 2-Pointers 61.1 56.3
Points From 3-Pointers 35.9 33.4
Points From Free Throws 19.5 15.6
Shooting NY POR
Field Goals Made 42.5 39.3
Field Goals Attempted 86.2 87.9
Field Goal % 49.3% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 30.5 28.1
2 Pointers Attempted 52.5 55.5
2 Point Shooting % 58.2% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 12.0 11.1
3 Pointers Attempted 33.7 32.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 19.5 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 24.9 19.7
Free Throw % 78.1% 79.4%
Ball Control NY POR
Rebounds 50.6 46.2
Rebounds - Defensive 35.9 31.8
Rebounds - Offensive 14.7 14.3
Turnovers 12.1 13.4
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.3
Steals 8.0 5.9
Fouls 15.2 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY POR
Total Possessions 98.8
Effective Scoring Chances 101.4 99.7
% of Possessions with NY POR
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 28.1%
Player Fouled 18.4% 15.4%
Turnover 12.2% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY POR
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 31.5% 28.5%