NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY GS
Points 114.1 113.4
Total Points   227.5
Points From 2-Pointers 54.6 56.0
Points From 3-Pointers 42.1 43.0
Points From Free Throws 17.4 14.5
Shooting NY GS
Field Goals Made 41.3 42.3
Field Goals Attempted 90.9 90.0
Field Goal % 45.5% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 27.3 28.0
2 Pointers Attempted 51.5 51.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 14.0 14.3
3 Pointers Attempted 39.3 38.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 17.4 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 18.9
Free Throw % 78.1% 76.4%
Ball Control NY GS
Rebounds 51.9 49.7
Rebounds - Defensive 36.4 36.3
Rebounds - Offensive 15.5 13.4
Turnovers 11.4 12.2
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.5
Steals 6.7 5.5
Fouls 15.4 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY GS
Total Possessions 100.2
Effective Scoring Chances 104.3 101.4
% of Possessions with NY GS
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 33.5% 33.4%
Player Fouled 17.0% 15.4%
Turnover 11.4% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY GS
Shot Blocked 5.0% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 26.8%