NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY GS
Points 114.0 114.7
Total Points   228.7
Points From 2-Pointers 54.6 57.2
Points From 3-Pointers 42.0 42.8
Points From Free Throws 17.4 14.7
Shooting NY GS
Field Goals Made 41.3 42.9
Field Goals Attempted 90.5 89.1
Field Goal % 45.6% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 27.3 28.6
2 Pointers Attempted 52.4 51.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made 14.0 14.3
3 Pointers Attempted 38.0 37.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 17.4 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 18.9
Free Throw % 77.9% 77.7%
Ball Control NY GS
Rebounds 50.0 49.7
Rebounds - Defensive 34.7 36.2
Rebounds - Offensive 15.2 13.4
Turnovers 11.2 12.7
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.7
Steals 7.0 5.6
Fouls 15.1 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY GS
Total Possessions 99.8
Effective Scoring Chances 103.8 100.6
% of Possessions with NY GS
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 32.5% 32.8%
Player Fouled 17.1% 15.2%
Turnover 11.3% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY GS
Shot Blocked 5.4% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 27.9%