NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL PHI
Points 116.2 114.3
Total Points   230.5
Points From 2-Pointers 62.6 59.8
Points From 3-Pointers 32.8 38.1
Points From Free Throws 20.9 16.5
Shooting LAL PHI
Field Goals Made 42.2 42.6
Field Goals Attempted 83.2 94.4
Field Goal % 50.7% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 31.3 29.9
2 Pointers Attempted 54.2 59.1
2 Point Shooting % 57.8% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 10.9 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 29.0 35.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 20.9 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 27.1 20.2
Free Throw % 77.1% 81.7%
Ball Control LAL PHI
Rebounds 49.3 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 39.8 34.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 13.2
Turnovers 13.4 10.1
Blocked Shots 6.1 6.1
Steals 5.3 8.0
Fouls 13.9 19.9

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL PHI
Total Possessions 102.4
Effective Scoring Chances 98.4 105.5
% of Possessions with LAL PHI
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 50.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 29.8%
Player Fouled 19.4% 13.5%
Turnover 13.1% 9.9%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL PHI
Shot Blocked 6.6% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 24.9%