NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL PHI
Points 115.3 114.7
Total Points   230.0
Points From 2-Pointers 61.4 58.4
Points From 3-Pointers 33.3 40.1
Points From Free Throws 20.6 16.2
Shooting LAL PHI
Field Goals Made 41.8 42.6
Field Goals Attempted 83.7 93.8
Field Goal % 49.9% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 30.7 29.2
2 Pointers Attempted 53.9 58.0
2 Point Shooting % 56.9% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.1 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 29.8 35.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 20.6 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 26.5 19.8
Free Throw % 77.6% 81.9%
Ball Control LAL PHI
Rebounds 49.2 48.1
Rebounds - Defensive 39.5 35.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 13.0
Turnovers 13.5 10.6
Blocked Shots 5.8 5.9
Steals 5.6 8.0
Fouls 13.6 19.6

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL PHI
Total Possessions 102.5
Effective Scoring Chances 98.8 104.8
% of Possessions with LAL PHI
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 49.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 30.4%
Player Fouled 19.1% 13.3%
Turnover 13.1% 10.4%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL PHI
Shot Blocked 6.4% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.7% 24.7%