NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL MIL
Points 118.1 122.0
Total Points   240.1
Points From 2-Pointers 64.3 58.5
Points From 3-Pointers 35.3 47.5
Points From Free Throws 18.5 16.1
Shooting LAL MIL
Field Goals Made 43.9 45.1
Field Goals Attempted 88.5 92.8
Field Goal % 49.6% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 32.1 29.2
2 Pointers Attempted 57.7 52.1
2 Point Shooting % 55.7% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 15.8
3 Pointers Attempted 30.8 40.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 38.9%
Free Throws Made 18.5 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.0 20.6
Free Throw % 77.1% 78.1%
Ball Control LAL MIL
Rebounds 47.6 49.6
Rebounds - Defensive 39.0 38.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 10.9
Turnovers 11.1 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.5
Steals 5.9 6.7
Fouls 14.7 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL MIL
Total Possessions 104.6
Effective Scoring Chances 102.1 104.6
% of Possessions with LAL MIL
2 Point Attempt 50.2% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 34.7%
Player Fouled 17.9% 14.1%
Turnover 10.6% 10.4%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL MIL
Shot Blocked 4.9% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 18.3% 21.9%