NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL MIL
Points 110.6 111.8
Total Points   222.3
Points From 2-Pointers 57.2 58.3
Points From 3-Pointers 38.6 38.8
Points From Free Throws 14.8 14.7
Shooting LAL MIL
Field Goals Made 41.5 42.1
Field Goals Attempted 89.4 89.8
Field Goal % 46.4% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 28.6 29.1
2 Pointers Attempted 53.8 54.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.1% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 35.6 35.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 14.8 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 19.1
Free Throw % 75.2% 76.8%
Ball Control LAL MIL
Rebounds 49.1 50.9
Rebounds - Defensive 38.8 39.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 10.9
Turnovers 13.5 14.1
Blocked Shots 5.1 4.2
Steals 6.7 8.3
Fouls 15.8 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL MIL
Total Possessions 104.1
Effective Scoring Chances 101.0 100.9
% of Possessions with LAL MIL
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 29.9%
Player Fouled 16.2% 15.2%
Turnover 13.0% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL MIL
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.6% 22.0%