NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL CHI
Points 118.1 115.3
Total Points   233.3
Points From 2-Pointers 58.9 63.1
Points From 3-Pointers 39.7 38.0
Points From Free Throws 19.5 14.2
Shooting LAL CHI
Field Goals Made 42.7 44.2
Field Goals Attempted 84.1 94.3
Field Goal % 50.7% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 29.4 31.5
2 Pointers Attempted 49.7 60.1
2 Point Shooting % 59.2% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 34.4 34.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 19.5 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 25.1 17.9
Free Throw % 77.6% 79.2%
Ball Control LAL CHI
Rebounds 47.7 48.2
Rebounds - Defensive 39.1 35.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 12.6
Turnovers 12.9 10.7
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.6
Steals 5.9 7.7
Fouls 13.9 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL CHI
Total Possessions 102.8
Effective Scoring Chances 98.6 104.6
% of Possessions with LAL CHI
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 51.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 29.1%
Player Fouled 17.9% 13.5%
Turnover 12.5% 10.4%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL CHI
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 19.5% 24.3%