NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL CHI
Points 117.9 114.8
Total Points   232.6
Points From 2-Pointers 58.7 62.8
Points From 3-Pointers 39.9 38.0
Points From Free Throws 19.3 14.0
Shooting LAL CHI
Field Goals Made 42.6 44.1
Field Goals Attempted 83.8 94.4
Field Goal % 50.8% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 29.3 31.4
2 Pointers Attempted 49.4 60.0
2 Point Shooting % 59.3% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 13.3 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 34.4 34.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.6% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 19.3 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 24.8 17.7
Free Throw % 77.8% 79.2%
Ball Control LAL CHI
Rebounds 47.8 48.1
Rebounds - Defensive 39.3 35.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 12.6
Turnovers 13.0 10.6
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.6
Steals 5.8 7.8
Fouls 13.9 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL CHI
Total Possessions 102.6
Effective Scoring Chances 98.1 104.6
% of Possessions with LAL CHI
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 51.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 29.5%
Player Fouled 17.9% 13.6%
Turnover 12.7% 10.3%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL CHI
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 19.2% 24.2%