NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL CLE
Points 114.6 114.9
Total Points   229.5
Points From 2-Pointers 61.3 56.9
Points From 3-Pointers 35.4 44.7
Points From Free Throws 17.9 13.3
Shooting LAL CLE
Field Goals Made 42.4 43.4
Field Goals Attempted 84.7 91.2
Field Goal % 50.1% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 30.6 28.5
2 Pointers Attempted 54.6 52.1
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 54.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 14.9
3 Pointers Attempted 30.1 39.1
3 Point Shooting % 39.3% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 17.9 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 17.5
Free Throw % 77.6% 76.1%
Ball Control LAL CLE
Rebounds 47.1 47.4
Rebounds - Defensive 38.6 36.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 11.1
Turnovers 12.7 12.1
Blocked Shots 4.9 4.1
Steals 6.8 7.4
Fouls 14.1 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL CLE
Total Possessions 102.2
Effective Scoring Chances 98.1 101.2
% of Possessions with LAL CLE
2 Point Attempt 48.6% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 33.9%
Player Fouled 16.4% 13.8%
Turnover 12.4% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL CLE
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 19.1% 22.3%