NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL CLE
Points 113.5 114.3
Total Points   227.9
Points From 2-Pointers 60.4 56.7
Points From 3-Pointers 35.3 44.3
Points From Free Throws 17.9 13.3
Shooting LAL CLE
Field Goals Made 42.0 43.1
Field Goals Attempted 84.3 91.3
Field Goal % 49.8% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 30.2 28.4
2 Pointers Attempted 54.0 51.9
2 Point Shooting % 55.9% 54.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 14.8
3 Pointers Attempted 30.3 39.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.8% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 17.9 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 17.5
Free Throw % 77.8% 76.0%
Ball Control LAL CLE
Rebounds 47.1 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 38.6 36.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 11.3
Turnovers 12.8 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.9 4.2
Steals 6.8 7.4
Fouls 14.2 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL CLE
Total Possessions 101.9
Effective Scoring Chances 97.6 101.3
% of Possessions with LAL CLE
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 34.2%
Player Fouled 16.5% 14.0%
Turnover 12.5% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL CLE
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 18.8% 22.7%