NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL BOS
Points 111.6 122.4
Total Points   234.0
Points From 2-Pointers 59.8 55.2
Points From 3-Pointers 36.8 54.0
Points From Free Throws 15.0 13.2
Shooting LAL BOS
Field Goals Made 42.2 45.6
Field Goals Attempted 90.9 94.6
Field Goal % 46.4% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 29.9 27.6
2 Pointers Attempted 57.7 49.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 18.0
3 Pointers Attempted 33.2 44.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 40.1%
Free Throws Made 15.0 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 16.7
Free Throw % 77.6% 79.1%
Ball Control LAL BOS
Rebounds 48.3 52.6
Rebounds - Defensive 38.3 40.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 12.3
Turnovers 11.2 10.4
Blocked Shots 3.9 6.1
Steals 5.3 6.8
Fouls 12.6 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Boston

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL BOS
Total Possessions 102.5
Effective Scoring Chances 101.3 104.4
% of Possessions with LAL BOS
2 Point Attempt 50.2% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 38.6%
Player Fouled 15.0% 12.3%
Turnover 11.0% 10.1%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL BOS
Shot Blocked 6.5% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 19.9% 24.2%