NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL BOS
Points 111.1 121.9
Total Points   233.0
Points From 2-Pointers 59.5 54.7
Points From 3-Pointers 36.9 54.1
Points From Free Throws 14.6 13.1
Shooting LAL BOS
Field Goals Made 42.1 45.4
Field Goals Attempted 90.4 94.5
Field Goal % 46.5% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 29.8 27.3
2 Pointers Attempted 57.1 49.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 18.0
3 Pointers Attempted 33.3 45.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 39.9%
Free Throws Made 14.6 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 16.6
Free Throw % 77.8% 79.2%
Ball Control LAL BOS
Rebounds 48.0 52.5
Rebounds - Defensive 38.3 40.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 12.3
Turnovers 11.3 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.8 6.0
Steals 5.2 6.8
Fouls 12.7 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Boston

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL BOS
Total Possessions 102.1
Effective Scoring Chances 100.5 104.2
% of Possessions with LAL BOS
2 Point Attempt 50.0% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 39.0%
Player Fouled 15.0% 12.4%
Turnover 11.1% 10.0%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL BOS
Shot Blocked 6.5% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 19.5% 24.3%