NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL LAC
Points 115.3 117.0
Total Points   232.3
Points From 2-Pointers 61.0 60.1
Points From 3-Pointers 35.9 41.3
Points From Free Throws 18.4 15.6
Shooting LAL LAC
Field Goals Made 42.5 43.8
Field Goals Attempted 85.7 91.3
Field Goal % 49.5% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 30.5 30.1
2 Pointers Attempted 54.2 55.8
2 Point Shooting % 56.3% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.0 13.8
3 Pointers Attempted 31.5 35.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 18.4 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 18.6
Free Throw % 77.8% 83.5%
Ball Control LAL LAC
Rebounds 46.4 48.1
Rebounds - Defensive 37.0 36.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 11.6
Turnovers 12.0 11.5
Blocked Shots 4.7 4.5
Steals 6.4 7.5
Fouls 14.0 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL LAC
Total Possessions 101.9
Effective Scoring Chances 99.3 102.0
% of Possessions with LAL LAC
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 30.7%
Player Fouled 17.4% 13.8%
Turnover 11.7% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL LAC
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 20.4% 23.9%