NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL LAC
Points 116.6 119.1
Total Points   235.7
Points From 2-Pointers 62.3 60.5
Points From 3-Pointers 36.6 42.8
Points From Free Throws 17.7 15.8
Shooting LAL LAC
Field Goals Made 43.3 44.5
Field Goals Attempted 86.5 91.3
Field Goal % 50.1% 48.8%
2 Pointers Made 31.1 30.3
2 Pointers Attempted 55.7 55.4
2 Point Shooting % 55.9% 54.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 14.3
3 Pointers Attempted 30.8 35.9
3 Point Shooting % 39.5% 39.7%
Free Throws Made 17.7 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 19.0
Free Throw % 77.1% 82.9%
Ball Control LAL LAC
Rebounds 46.0 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 36.5 36.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 11.5
Turnovers 11.8 11.2
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.9
Steals 6.1 7.4
Fouls 14.3 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL LAC
Total Possessions 101.9
Effective Scoring Chances 99.6 102.2
% of Possessions with LAL LAC
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 31.2%
Player Fouled 17.3% 14.1%
Turnover 11.6% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL LAC
Shot Blocked 5.4% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 24.0%