NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL CHA
Points 119.7 109.3
Total Points   229.0
Points From 2-Pointers 64.8 56.2
Points From 3-Pointers 37.5 40.8
Points From Free Throws 17.4 12.3
Shooting LAL CHA
Field Goals Made 44.9 41.7
Field Goals Attempted 84.9 90.8
Field Goal % 52.9% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 32.4 28.1
2 Pointers Attempted 52.7 53.9
2 Point Shooting % 61.6% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 13.6
3 Pointers Attempted 32.3 36.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.8% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 17.4 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 15.6
Free Throw % 77.3% 78.9%
Ball Control LAL CHA
Rebounds 49.4 43.6
Rebounds - Defensive 40.4 33.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 10.0
Turnovers 13.0 12.3
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.1
Steals 6.2 7.0
Fouls 13.2 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL CHA
Total Possessions 102.0
Effective Scoring Chances 98.0 99.7
% of Possessions with LAL CHA
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 32.4%
Player Fouled 16.7% 13.0%
Turnover 12.7% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL CHA
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 19.9%