NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL UTA
Points 125.2 117.8
Total Points   242.9
Points From 2-Pointers 65.3 59.6
Points From 3-Pointers 41.0 42.0
Points From Free Throws 18.9 16.2
Shooting LAL UTA
Field Goals Made 46.3 43.8
Field Goals Attempted 88.9 93.7
Field Goal % 52.1% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 32.6 29.8
2 Pointers Attempted 55.7 55.4
2 Point Shooting % 58.6% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 13.7 14.0
3 Pointers Attempted 33.2 38.2
3 Point Shooting % 41.2% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 18.9 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 19.3
Free Throw % 77.6% 83.7%
Ball Control LAL UTA
Rebounds 46.3 49.7
Rebounds - Defensive 36.9 35.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 13.9
Turnovers 11.3 13.5
Blocked Shots 6.4 5.1
Steals 7.3 6.3
Fouls 14.0 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL UTA
Total Possessions 104.4
Effective Scoring Chances 102.5 104.8
% of Possessions with LAL UTA
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 31.6%
Player Fouled 16.9% 13.4%
Turnover 10.8% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL UTA
Shot Blocked 5.6% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 27.3%