NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL SAC
Points 116.4 118.7
Total Points   235.1
Points From 2-Pointers 60.0 58.9
Points From 3-Pointers 36.0 46.5
Points From Free Throws 20.4 13.2
Shooting LAL SAC
Field Goals Made 42.0 45.0
Field Goals Attempted 83.5 94.7
Field Goal % 50.3% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 30.0 29.5
2 Pointers Attempted 53.4 53.9
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 54.6%
3 Pointers Made 12.0 15.5
3 Pointers Attempted 30.1 40.8
3 Point Shooting % 39.9% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 20.4 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 26.3 17.7
Free Throw % 77.6% 74.7%
Ball Control LAL SAC
Rebounds 47.1 49.5
Rebounds - Defensive 39.3 36.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 12.7
Turnovers 13.1 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.2
Steals 6.4 7.8
Fouls 13.7 19.5

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL SAC
Total Possessions 104.0
Effective Scoring Chances 98.7 105.3
% of Possessions with LAL SAC
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 34.5%
Player Fouled 18.7% 13.2%
Turnover 12.6% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL SAC
Shot Blocked 4.5% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 17.6% 24.4%