NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL SAC
Points 118.4 119.7
Total Points   238.1
Points From 2-Pointers 62.1 61.0
Points From 3-Pointers 36.5 45.1
Points From Free Throws 19.9 13.5
Shooting LAL SAC
Field Goals Made 43.2 45.6
Field Goals Attempted 84.7 95.2
Field Goal % 51.0% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 31.1 30.5
2 Pointers Attempted 55.0 54.7
2 Point Shooting % 56.5% 55.8%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 15.0
3 Pointers Attempted 29.7 40.6
3 Point Shooting % 41.0% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 19.9 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 25.8 18.1
Free Throw % 77.1% 74.8%
Ball Control LAL SAC
Rebounds 47.1 49.3
Rebounds - Defensive 39.3 36.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 12.6
Turnovers 13.0 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.3
Steals 6.4 7.5
Fouls 14.0 19.4

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL SAC
Total Possessions 104.6
Effective Scoring Chances 99.5 105.8
% of Possessions with LAL SAC
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 34.1%
Player Fouled 18.6% 13.4%
Turnover 12.4% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL SAC
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 17.6% 24.3%