NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL NY
Points 114.8 115.6
Total Points   230.4
Points From 2-Pointers 62.3 57.6
Points From 3-Pointers 34.8 43.4
Points From Free Throws 17.7 14.5
Shooting LAL NY
Field Goals Made 42.7 43.3
Field Goals Attempted 84.2 93.3
Field Goal % 50.8% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 31.1 28.8
2 Pointers Attempted 53.5 55.3
2 Point Shooting % 58.2% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 14.5
3 Pointers Attempted 30.7 38.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 17.7 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 18.7
Free Throw % 77.6% 77.9%
Ball Control LAL NY
Rebounds 45.8 50.0
Rebounds - Defensive 36.8 35.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 15.0
Turnovers 12.6 11.6
Blocked Shots 4.9 4.1
Steals 5.8 7.6
Fouls 13.9 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL NY
Total Possessions 101.0
Effective Scoring Chances 97.4 104.4
% of Possessions with LAL NY
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 32.2%
Player Fouled 17.1% 13.8%
Turnover 12.5% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL NY
Shot Blocked 4.5% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.5% 28.9%