NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL NY
Points 114.1 115.2
Total Points   229.3
Points From 2-Pointers 61.6 57.2
Points From 3-Pointers 35.0 43.4
Points From Free Throws 17.5 14.5
Shooting LAL NY
Field Goals Made 42.5 43.1
Field Goals Attempted 83.7 93.5
Field Goal % 50.7% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 30.8 28.6
2 Pointers Attempted 52.9 55.4
2 Point Shooting % 58.2% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.7 14.5
3 Pointers Attempted 30.8 38.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 17.5 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 18.6
Free Throw % 77.8% 78.1%
Ball Control LAL NY
Rebounds 45.8 50.2
Rebounds - Defensive 37.0 35.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 15.2
Turnovers 12.6 11.2
Blocked Shots 4.9 4.2
Steals 5.7 7.5
Fouls 14.0 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL NY
Total Possessions 100.6
Effective Scoring Chances 96.8 104.5
% of Possessions with LAL NY
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 32.4%
Player Fouled 17.2% 13.9%
Turnover 12.5% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL NY
Shot Blocked 4.5% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 20.1% 29.1%