NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL ORL
Points 111.6 112.9
Total Points   224.5
Points From 2-Pointers 61.1 60.4
Points From 3-Pointers 31.0 36.9
Points From Free Throws 19.5 15.6
Shooting LAL ORL
Field Goals Made 40.9 42.5
Field Goals Attempted 81.5 90.0
Field Goal % 50.1% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 30.5 30.2
2 Pointers Attempted 53.7 56.2
2 Point Shooting % 56.8% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 27.8 33.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 19.5 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 25.3 20.9
Free Throw % 77.1% 74.6%
Ball Control LAL ORL
Rebounds 44.8 48.9
Rebounds - Defensive 37.2 36.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 12.9
Turnovers 14.0 12.8
Blocked Shots 4.5 5.0
Steals 7.0 8.1
Fouls 15.6 19.7

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL ORL
Total Possessions 102.3
Effective Scoring Chances 95.9 102.4
% of Possessions with LAL ORL
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 28.9%
Player Fouled 19.3% 15.2%
Turnover 13.7% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL ORL
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 17.5% 25.8%