NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL BK
Points 116.4 113.2
Total Points   229.7
Points From 2-Pointers 63.2 55.8
Points From 3-Pointers 34.6 43.7
Points From Free Throws 18.6 13.7
Shooting LAL BK
Field Goals Made 43.1 42.5
Field Goals Attempted 85.6 94.2
Field Goal % 50.4% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 31.6 27.9
2 Pointers Attempted 56.0 54.5
2 Point Shooting % 56.5% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 14.6
3 Pointers Attempted 29.6 39.7
3 Point Shooting % 39.0% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 18.6 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 18.0
Free Throw % 77.1% 76.5%
Ball Control LAL BK
Rebounds 49.1 49.6
Rebounds - Defensive 40.3 36.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 13.3
Turnovers 12.2 11.2
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.9
Steals 5.8 6.9
Fouls 13.7 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL BK
Total Possessions 102.6
Effective Scoring Chances 99.3 104.7
% of Possessions with LAL BK
2 Point Attempt 49.4% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 33.7%
Player Fouled 17.6% 13.3%
Turnover 11.9% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL BK
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 19.6% 24.8%