NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL BK
Points 116.5 111.9
Total Points   228.4
Points From 2-Pointers 62.2 55.0
Points From 3-Pointers 35.8 43.1
Points From Free Throws 18.5 13.8
Shooting LAL BK
Field Goals Made 43.0 41.9
Field Goals Attempted 85.9 93.2
Field Goal % 50.1% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 31.1 27.5
2 Pointers Attempted 55.0 54.4
2 Point Shooting % 56.5% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.9 14.4
3 Pointers Attempted 30.9 38.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.6% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 18.5 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 23.8 18.2
Free Throw % 77.6% 76.0%
Ball Control LAL BK
Rebounds 49.3 49.5
Rebounds - Defensive 40.2 36.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 13.1
Turnovers 12.0 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.9 4.8
Steals 6.0 6.8
Fouls 13.7 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL BK
Total Possessions 102.4
Effective Scoring Chances 99.5 103.8
% of Possessions with LAL BK
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 33.1%
Player Fouled 17.4% 13.4%
Turnover 11.7% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL BK
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 19.9% 24.5%