NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL DEN
Points 112.7 117.3
Total Points   230.0
Points From 2-Pointers 62.5 66.3
Points From 3-Pointers 31.0 38.0
Points From Free Throws 19.2 13.0
Shooting LAL DEN
Field Goals Made 41.6 45.8
Field Goals Attempted 85.6 93.6
Field Goal % 48.6% 49.0%
2 Pointers Made 31.3 33.2
2 Pointers Attempted 57.4 60.2
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 28.2 33.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 19.2 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 16.9
Free Throw % 77.8% 76.8%
Ball Control LAL DEN
Rebounds 46.2 49.8
Rebounds - Defensive 37.1 37.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 12.4
Turnovers 11.4 10.7
Blocked Shots 4.5 5.3
Steals 5.9 6.8
Fouls 13.6 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL DEN
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 99.4 103.3
% of Possessions with LAL DEN
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 51.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 28.8%
Player Fouled 17.2% 13.3%
Turnover 11.3% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL DEN
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.6% 25.0%