NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL TOR
Points 124.2 113.6
Total Points   237.8
Points From 2-Pointers 68.8 62.2
Points From 3-Pointers 37.8 37.4
Points From Free Throws 17.5 14.0
Shooting LAL TOR
Field Goals Made 47.0 43.6
Field Goals Attempted 87.7 94.3
Field Goal % 53.6% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 34.4 31.1
2 Pointers Attempted 55.4 58.9
2 Point Shooting % 62.1% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 12.6 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 32.3 35.4
3 Point Shooting % 39.0% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 17.5 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 18.3
Free Throw % 77.8% 76.6%
Ball Control LAL TOR
Rebounds 49.6 46.1
Rebounds - Defensive 40.1 33.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 12.3
Turnovers 13.2 12.2
Blocked Shots 5.9 4.3
Steals 6.3 7.7
Fouls 13.6 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL TOR
Total Possessions 104.5
Effective Scoring Chances 100.8 104.5
% of Possessions with LAL TOR
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 49.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 29.7%
Player Fouled 17.1% 13.0%
Turnover 12.6% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL TOR
Shot Blocked 4.6% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.9% 23.4%