NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL SA
Points 118.4 114.3
Total Points   232.7
Points From 2-Pointers 67.2 60.0
Points From 3-Pointers 34.0 41.3
Points From Free Throws 17.1 13.0
Shooting LAL SA
Field Goals Made 45.0 43.7
Field Goals Attempted 89.4 94.3
Field Goal % 50.3% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 33.6 30.0
2 Pointers Attempted 59.7 56.1
2 Point Shooting % 56.3% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.3 13.8
3 Pointers Attempted 29.7 38.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 17.1 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 16.8
Free Throw % 77.8% 77.6%
Ball Control LAL SA
Rebounds 48.9 49.8
Rebounds - Defensive 40.1 37.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 12.0
Turnovers 12.5 13.1
Blocked Shots 4.6 5.8
Steals 7.7 7.0
Fouls 13.3 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL SA
Total Possessions 105.2
Effective Scoring Chances 101.5 104.1
% of Possessions with LAL SA
2 Point Attempt 51.3% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 32.1%
Player Fouled 15.5% 12.7%
Turnover 11.9% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL SA
Shot Blocked 6.3% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 18.9% 23.0%