NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL OKC
Points 113.9 121.1
Total Points   235.0
Points From 2-Pointers 56.8 63.4
Points From 3-Pointers 37.5 42.8
Points From Free Throws 19.6 14.9
Shooting LAL OKC
Field Goals Made 40.9 46.0
Field Goals Attempted 85.8 93.3
Field Goal % 47.7% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 28.4 31.7
2 Pointers Attempted 53.0 57.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 14.3
3 Pointers Attempted 32.8 36.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 39.5%
Free Throws Made 19.6 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 25.2 18.1
Free Throw % 77.8% 82.1%
Ball Control LAL OKC
Rebounds 48.3 47.6
Rebounds - Defensive 38.3 37.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 10.2
Turnovers 14.5 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.9 6.2
Steals 6.3 8.2
Fouls 14.4 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL OKC
Total Possessions 104.5
Effective Scoring Chances 100.0 103.4
% of Possessions with LAL OKC
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 31.0%
Player Fouled 17.0% 13.8%
Turnover 13.9% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL OKC
Shot Blocked 6.8% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 21.0%