NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL OKC
Points 115.3 122.7
Total Points   238.0
Points From 2-Pointers 58.1 64.1
Points From 3-Pointers 37.2 43.5
Points From Free Throws 20.0 15.1
Shooting LAL OKC
Field Goals Made 41.5 46.6
Field Goals Attempted 86.1 94.3
Field Goal % 48.2% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made 29.1 32.1
2 Pointers Attempted 54.2 57.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 12.4 14.5
3 Pointers Attempted 31.9 36.6
3 Point Shooting % 38.9% 39.6%
Free Throws Made 20.0 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 25.9 18.2
Free Throw % 77.1% 82.8%
Ball Control LAL OKC
Rebounds 48.4 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 38.4 37.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 10.5
Turnovers 14.3 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.9 6.5
Steals 6.1 7.9
Fouls 14.5 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL OKC
Total Possessions 104.9
Effective Scoring Chances 100.6 104.5
% of Possessions with LAL OKC
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 49.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 31.2%
Player Fouled 17.4% 13.9%
Turnover 13.6% 10.4%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL OKC
Shot Blocked 7.0% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 21.5%