NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL POR
Points 120.9 111.5
Total Points   232.4
Points From 2-Pointers 68.3 58.7
Points From 3-Pointers 32.0 38.3
Points From Free Throws 20.6 14.4
Shooting LAL POR
Field Goals Made 44.8 42.1
Field Goals Attempted 83.6 94.6
Field Goal % 53.6% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 34.1 29.4
2 Pointers Attempted 55.1 59.5
2 Point Shooting % 62.0% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 10.7 12.8
3 Pointers Attempted 28.6 35.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 20.6 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 26.8 18.1
Free Throw % 77.1% 79.7%
Ball Control LAL POR
Rebounds 48.1 47.6
Rebounds - Defensive 39.0 33.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 14.6
Turnovers 13.3 13.0
Blocked Shots 6.1 4.4
Steals 7.5 7.5
Fouls 13.4 19.7

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL POR
Total Possessions 103.4
Effective Scoring Chances 99.2 105.1
% of Possessions with LAL POR
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 49.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 29.1%
Player Fouled 19.0% 13.0%
Turnover 12.9% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL POR
Shot Blocked 4.8% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 27.3%