NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL POR
Points 120.7 109.2
Total Points   229.9
Points From 2-Pointers 67.8 58.1
Points From 3-Pointers 31.9 37.2
Points From Free Throws 20.9 13.9
Shooting LAL POR
Field Goals Made 44.6 41.5
Field Goals Attempted 83.1 94.5
Field Goal % 53.6% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 33.9 29.1
2 Pointers Attempted 53.9 59.8
2 Point Shooting % 63.0% 48.6%
3 Pointers Made 10.6 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 29.3 34.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 20.9 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 27.0 17.5
Free Throw % 77.6% 79.4%
Ball Control LAL POR
Rebounds 48.3 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 39.4 33.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 14.9
Turnovers 13.1 13.2
Blocked Shots 6.0 4.2
Steals 7.6 7.4
Fouls 13.1 19.5

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL POR
Total Possessions 103.1
Effective Scoring Chances 98.9 104.8
% of Possessions with LAL POR
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 28.8%
Player Fouled 18.9% 12.7%
Turnover 12.7% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL POR
Shot Blocked 4.5% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 27.4%