NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL GS
Points 117.4 119.5
Total Points   236.9
Points From 2-Pointers 61.0 58.9
Points From 3-Pointers 37.8 47.6
Points From Free Throws 18.7 13.0
Shooting LAL GS
Field Goals Made 43.1 45.3
Field Goals Attempted 87.3 95.5
Field Goal % 49.3% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 30.5 29.4
2 Pointers Attempted 54.2 54.8
2 Point Shooting % 56.3% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.6 15.9
3 Pointers Attempted 33.1 40.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 18.7 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 24.0 16.7
Free Throw % 77.8% 77.7%
Ball Control LAL GS
Rebounds 47.2 51.4
Rebounds - Defensive 37.9 37.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 13.8
Turnovers 12.1 12.3
Blocked Shots 4.8 4.5
Steals 6.6 6.8
Fouls 13.1 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL GS
Total Possessions 103.9
Effective Scoring Chances 101.1 105.4
% of Possessions with LAL GS
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 34.0%
Player Fouled 17.6% 12.6%
Turnover 11.6% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL GS
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 19.8% 26.7%