NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL WAS
Points 125.7 115.3
Total Points   241.1
Points From 2-Pointers 72.2 61.5
Points From 3-Pointers 32.4 40.6
Points From Free Throws 21.1 13.3
Shooting LAL WAS
Field Goals Made 46.9 44.3
Field Goals Attempted 87.9 95.1
Field Goal % 53.3% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 36.1 30.7
2 Pointers Attempted 58.8 57.4
2 Point Shooting % 61.4% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 10.8 13.5
3 Pointers Attempted 29.1 37.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 21.1 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 27.2 17.3
Free Throw % 77.6% 76.8%
Ball Control LAL WAS
Rebounds 51.8 44.7
Rebounds - Defensive 42.0 34.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 10.3
Turnovers 12.7 12.5
Blocked Shots 6.0 4.6
Steals 7.0 7.3
Fouls 13.6 19.3

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL WAS
Total Possessions 106.6
Effective Scoring Chances 103.7 104.5
% of Possessions with LAL WAS
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 31.6%
Player Fouled 18.1% 12.7%
Turnover 12.0% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL WAS
Shot Blocked 4.9% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 19.7%