NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL PHI
Points 107.0 106.9
Total Points   214.0
Points From 2-Pointers 55.4 54.3
Points From 3-Pointers 31.0 32.5
Points From Free Throws 20.7 20.1
Shooting ORL PHI
Field Goals Made 38.0 38.0
Field Goals Attempted 82.0 83.9
Field Goal % 46.4% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 27.7 27.2
2 Pointers Attempted 52.0 53.3
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 10.8
3 Pointers Attempted 30.0 30.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 20.7 20.1
Free Throws Attempted 27.3 24.6
Free Throw % 75.6% 81.9%
Ball Control ORL PHI
Rebounds 49.8 45.2
Rebounds - Defensive 36.8 34.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 10.9
Turnovers 14.0 12.3
Blocked Shots 6.0 5.5
Steals 6.4 8.0
Fouls 17.7 20.4

Playing Style Advantage: Philadelphia

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL PHI
Total Possessions 99.2
Effective Scoring Chances 98.2 97.8
% of Possessions with ORL PHI
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 27.2%
Player Fouled 20.6% 17.8%
Turnover 14.1% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL PHI
Shot Blocked 6.7% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 22.9%