NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL PHI
Points 107.9 107.3
Total Points   215.2
Points From 2-Pointers 56.3 54.7
Points From 3-Pointers 31.1 32.6
Points From Free Throws 20.5 20.0
Shooting ORL PHI
Field Goals Made 38.5 38.2
Field Goals Attempted 82.0 84.1
Field Goal % 47.0% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 28.2 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 52.1 53.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 10.4 10.9
3 Pointers Attempted 29.9 30.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 20.5 20.0
Free Throws Attempted 27.0 24.4
Free Throw % 75.9% 81.9%
Ball Control ORL PHI
Rebounds 49.6 44.7
Rebounds - Defensive 36.9 34.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 10.8
Turnovers 14.2 12.3
Blocked Shots 5.9 5.5
Steals 6.4 8.0
Fouls 17.6 20.3

Playing Style Advantage: Philadelphia

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL PHI
Total Possessions 99.4
Effective Scoring Chances 98.0 97.9
% of Possessions with ORL PHI
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 27.1%
Player Fouled 20.4% 17.7%
Turnover 14.3% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL PHI
Shot Blocked 6.7% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 22.6%