NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL MIL
Points 109.1 111.0
Total Points   220.1
Points From 2-Pointers 57.8 54.3
Points From 3-Pointers 32.7 37.6
Points From Free Throws 18.6 19.2
Shooting ORL MIL
Field Goals Made 39.8 39.7
Field Goals Attempted 86.2 82.5
Field Goal % 46.2% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 28.9 27.1
2 Pointers Attempted 54.5 48.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 56.4%
3 Pointers Made 10.9 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 31.7 34.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 18.6 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 24.6 24.6
Free Throw % 75.6% 78.0%
Ball Control ORL MIL
Rebounds 48.1 47.0
Rebounds - Defensive 36.6 38.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 8.9
Turnovers 11.7 13.2
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.2
Steals 7.2 6.7
Fouls 18.6 19.2

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL MIL
Total Possessions 101.0
Effective Scoring Chances 100.7 96.8
% of Possessions with ORL MIL
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 30.8%
Player Fouled 19.0% 18.4%
Turnover 11.6% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL MIL
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 19.6%