NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL MIL
Points 110.9 113.1
Total Points   223.9
Points From 2-Pointers 58.9 54.9
Points From 3-Pointers 33.6 38.1
Points From Free Throws 18.3 20.0
Shooting ORL MIL
Field Goals Made 40.7 40.1
Field Goals Attempted 86.8 82.7
Field Goal % 46.9% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 29.4 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 55.1 48.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 57.0%
3 Pointers Made 11.2 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 31.7 34.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 18.3 20.0
Free Throws Attempted 24.6 25.7
Free Throw % 74.6% 78.1%
Ball Control ORL MIL
Rebounds 48.4 46.4
Rebounds - Defensive 36.6 37.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 8.8
Turnovers 12.1 12.9
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.1
Steals 7.0 6.8
Fouls 19.3 19.4

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL MIL
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 101.4 97.6
% of Possessions with ORL MIL
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 30.8%
Player Fouled 19.1% 19.0%
Turnover 11.9% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL MIL
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 19.4%