NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL CLE
Points 105.7 106.2
Total Points   211.9
Points From 2-Pointers 55.1 53.6
Points From 3-Pointers 32.6 36.0
Points From Free Throws 18.1 16.6
Shooting ORL CLE
Field Goals Made 38.4 38.8
Field Goals Attempted 82.7 82.0
Field Goal % 46.4% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 27.5 26.8
2 Pointers Attempted 52.3 48.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 10.9 12.0
3 Pointers Attempted 30.4 33.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 18.1 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 21.9
Free Throw % 75.6% 76.0%
Ball Control ORL CLE
Rebounds 47.4 45.6
Rebounds - Defensive 36.1 36.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 9.6
Turnovers 13.4 14.1
Blocked Shots 5.0 3.9
Steals 8.0 7.5
Fouls 18.4 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL CLE
Total Possessions 99.1
Effective Scoring Chances 97.1 94.7
% of Possessions with ORL CLE
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 30.3%
Player Fouled 17.7% 18.5%
Turnover 13.5% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL CLE
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 21.1%