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Orlando at Boston
Fri Jan 15, 2021
7:30pm ET
Boston, MA
Orlando at Boston: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Boston by 4, Total Points: 214
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ORL | adv | BOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 51-33-0 | 42-37-5 | |
| vs Division | 10-6-0 | 9-5-3 | |
| vs Conference | 33-21-0 | 25-25-4 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 3-5-2 | |
| Home | 27-13-0 | 23-18-2 | |
| Away | 24-20-0 | 19-19-3 |
Orlando Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Houston | -4.5 | W by 30 | +25.5 |
| 10/27 | Away | Portland | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 10/30 | Away | LA Lakers | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 10/31 | Away | LA Clippers | +6.0 | L by 16 | -10.0 |
| 11/02 | Away | Utah | -1.5 | W by 2 | +0.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | LA Lakers | +3.5 | W by 19 | +22.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | Dallas | +1.0 | L by 15 | -14.0 |
| 11/09 | Neutral | Atlanta | +3.5 | L by 1 | +2.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Milwaukee | +2.0 | W by 15 | +17.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Brooklyn | +2.5 | L by 20 | -17.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Chicago | +2.0 | W by 2 | +4.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | Chicago | +3.5 | W by 6 | +9.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Indiana | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Toronto | -1.5 | W by 19 | +17.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Denver | +3.0 | W by 5 | +8.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Boston | +5.5 | W by 17 | +22.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Charlotte | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Washington | -10.0 | W by 19 | +9.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | Washington | -10.0 | W by 5 | -5.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Brooklyn | +2.0 | L by 28 | -26.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | Cleveland | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 12/08 | Home | Detroit | -10.5 | W by 32 | +21.5 |
| 12/11 | Home | Cleveland | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 12/15 | Away | Boston | +6.0 | L by 17 | -11.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | Boston | +8.5 | L by 17 | -8.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Miami | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Milwaukee | +8.5 | L by 4 | +4.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | Indiana | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 12/26 | Away | Washington | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 12/27 | Home | Philadelphia | -2.5 | L by 20 | -22.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | New York | +1.0 | W by 9 | +10.0 |
| 12/31 | Away | Phoenix | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Golden State | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Sacramento | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 01/05 | Away | Denver | +10.0 | W by 2 | +12.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Atlanta | +2.0 | W by 7 | +9.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Minnesota | +5.5 | L by 21 | -15.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Miami | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Okla City | +11.5 | L by 12 | -0.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | New York | +5.5 | W by 4 | +9.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Atlanta | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | Philadelphia | +5.0 | L by 15 | -10.0 |
| 01/21 | Home | Miami | -1.0 | W by 18 | +17.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Cleveland | +2.5 | L by 27 | -24.5 |
| 01/26 | Away | Memphis | -6.0 | L by 1 | -7.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Phoenix | +1.5 | W by 15 | +16.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Dallas | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | San Antonio | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 02/02 | Away | Minnesota | +6.5 | W by 2 | +8.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Detroit | -7.0 | W by 12 | +5.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Miami | +3.5 | L by 26 | -22.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 16 | +5.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Chicago | -5.0 | W by 6 | +1.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Okla City | +2.5 | L by 14 | -11.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | New York | -3.5 | W by 18 | +14.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Cleveland | +5.0 | W by 7 | +12.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Detroit | -8.0 | W by 3 | -5.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Atlanta | +2.0 | L by 17 | -15.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Brooklyn | -6.5 | W by 27 | +20.5 |
| 02/29 | Home | Utah | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Detroit | -11.0 | W by 22 | +11.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Charlotte | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Washington | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 03/08 | Away | New York | +3.0 | L by 24 | -21.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Indiana | (Pick) | L by 14 | -14.0 |
| 03/13 | Home | Brooklyn | -6.0 | W by 8 | +2.0 |
| 03/15 | Away | Toronto | -8.0 | W by 10 | +2.0 |
| 03/17 | Home | Toronto | -11.0 | W by 15 | +4.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | Charlotte | -13.0 | W by 20 | +7.0 |
| 03/21 | Home | New Orleans | +2.5 | W by 15 | +17.5 |
| 03/23 | Home | Sacramento | -3.0 | L by 2 | -5.0 |
| 03/27 | Home | Golden State | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 03/29 | Home | LA Clippers | +1.5 | L by 3 | -1.5 |
| 03/30 | Home | Memphis | -13.0 | W by 30 | +17.0 |
| 04/01 | Home | Portland | -17.0 | W by 1 | -16.0 |
| 04/03 | Away | New Orleans | +4.5 | W by 9 | +13.5 |
| 04/05 | Away | Charlotte | -12.0 | L by 9 | -21.0 |
| 04/07 | Home | Chicago | -7.0 | W by 15 | +8.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Houston | -2.5 | L by 12 | -14.5 |
| 04/10 | Away | Milwaukee | -1.5 | L by 18 | -19.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | Philadelphia | +6.0 | L by 12 | -6.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Milwaukee | -6.0 | W by 25 | +19.0 |
| 04/20 | Away | Cleveland | +5.5 | L by 14 | -8.5 |
| 04/22 | Away | Cleveland | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
Boston Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | New York | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 10/27 | Home | Miami | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Washington | -10.5 | W by 19 | +8.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Indiana | -13.0 | W by 51 | +38.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Brooklyn | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 11/06 | Away | Minnesota | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Philadelphia | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Brooklyn | -12.0 | W by 14 | +2.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Toronto | -9.0 | W by 23 | +14.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | New York | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Philadelphia | -1.0 | W by 10 | +9.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | Toronto | -9.0 | W by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/19 | Away | Memphis | -12.5 | W by 2 | -10.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Charlotte | -8.5 | L by 3 | -11.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Milwaukee | -6.0 | W by 3 | -3.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Orlando | -5.5 | L by 17 | -22.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Atlanta | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Chicago | -12.5 | W by 27 | +14.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | Philadelphia | -12.0 | W by 6 | -6.0 |
| 12/04 | Away | Indiana | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 12/08 | Home | New York | -7.5 | W by 10 | +2.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Cleveland | -11.0 | W by 7 | -4.0 |
| 12/14 | Home | Cleveland | -8.5 | W by 9 | +0.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | Orlando | -6.0 | W by 17 | +11.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Orlando | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Golden State | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Sacramento | +4.0 | W by 25 | +29.0 |
| 12/23 | Away | LA Clippers | -4.5 | W by 37 | +32.5 |
| 12/25 | Away | LA Lakers | -5.0 | W by 11 | +6.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Detroit | -17.0 | W by 6 | -11.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Toronto | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/31 | Away | San Antonio | -14.5 | W by 33 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Okla City | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Utah | -14.0 | W by 29 | +15.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Indiana | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 01/08 | Away | Indiana | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Minnesota | -10.5 | W by 7 | -3.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Milwaukee | +2.0 | L by 33 | -31.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Houston | -15.0 | W by 32 | +17.0 |
| 01/15 | Away | Toronto | -6.5 | W by 9 | +2.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | San Antonio | -14.5 | W by 19 | +4.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | Denver | -7.0 | L by 2 | -9.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Houston | -11.0 | W by 9 | -2.0 |
| 01/22 | Away | Dallas | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Miami | -8.5 | W by 33 | +24.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | LA Clippers | -7.0 | L by 19 | -26.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | New Orleans | -8.0 | W by 6 | -2.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Indiana | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | LA Lakers | -15.5 | L by 9 | -24.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Memphis | -19.5 | W by 40 | +20.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Atlanta | -11.5 | W by 8 | -3.5 |
| 02/09 | Home | Washington | -18.0 | W by 4 | -14.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Miami | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Brooklyn | -8.0 | W by 8 | 0.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Brooklyn | -11.5 | W by 50 | +38.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Chicago | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | New York | -6.0 | W by 14 | +8.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Philadelphia | -11.5 | W by 18 | +6.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Dallas | -8.5 | W by 28 | +19.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Golden State | -8.0 | W by 52 | +44.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Cleveland | -8.5 | L by 1 | -9.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Denver | -2.0 | L by 6 | -8.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Phoenix | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 03/11 | Away | Portland | -11.0 | W by 22 | +11.0 |
| 03/12 | Away | Utah | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 03/14 | Home | Phoenix | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Washington | -14.5 | W by 26 | +11.5 |
| 03/18 | Home | Detroit | -15.0 | W by 25 | +10.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | Milwaukee | -10.5 | W by 3 | -7.5 |
| 03/22 | Away | Detroit | -14.0 | W by 27 | +13.0 |
| 03/23 | Away | Chicago | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 03/25 | Away | Atlanta | -10.5 | L by 2 | -12.5 |
| 03/28 | Away | Atlanta | -16.0 | L by 1 | -17.0 |
| 03/30 | Away | New Orleans | -6.0 | W by 12 | +6.0 |
| 04/01 | Away | Charlotte | -18.0 | W by 14 | -4.0 |
| 04/03 | Home | Okla City | -12.0 | W by 35 | +23.0 |
| 04/05 | Home | Sacramento | -9.0 | W by 1 | -8.0 |
| 04/07 | Home | Portland | -17.0 | W by 17 | 0.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Milwaukee | +3.5 | L by 13 | -9.5 |
| 04/11 | Home | New York | -3.0 | L by 9 | -12.0 |
| 04/12 | Home | Charlotte | -7.5 | W by 33 | +25.5 |
| 04/14 | Home | Washington | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 04/21 | Home | Miami | -14.5 | W by 20 | +5.5 |
| 04/24 | Home | Miami | -14.0 | L by 10 | -24.0 |
| BOS -4.0 | Open | -4.5 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NBA season there have been 1010 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Boston won the game 617 times (61.1%).
- The team like Orlando won the game 393 times (38.9%).
- The team like Boston did better against the spread, going 516-474-20 (52.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 25 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Orlando did better against the spread, going 13-12 (52.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.0 | -4.0 |
| Open | -3.5 | -3.5 | -3.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/15 07:38 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 07:32 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 07:20 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 07:15 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/15 07:11 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 07:02 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 06:53 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 06:34 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/15 06:23 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 06:20 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 06:08 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 06:02 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 05:54 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/15 05:41 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 05:23 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 05:20 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 05:15 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/15 05:11 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 05:05 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/15 05:02 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 04:45 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/15 04:35 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 04:20 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 02:50 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 02:02 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 01:53 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 01:37 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 01:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 01/15 01:26 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 01:25 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 01/15 01:23 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 01:01 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 11:50 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 11:41 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 11:31 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 11:20 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 11:11 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 11:02 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 10:54 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/15 10:45 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 01/15 10:41 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 10:25 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 01/15 10:23 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 10:04 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 09:54 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
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