NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL BOS
Points 104.6 113.4
Total Points   218.0
Points From 2-Pointers 55.1 52.9
Points From 3-Pointers 34.6 44.2
Points From Free Throws 14.9 16.3
Shooting ORL BOS
Field Goals Made 39.1 41.2
Field Goals Attempted 89.5 85.5
Field Goal % 43.7% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 27.6 26.4
2 Pointers Attempted 56.0 46.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 56.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 14.7
3 Pointers Attempted 33.4 38.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 14.9 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 20.6
Free Throw % 75.9% 79.1%
Ball Control ORL BOS
Rebounds 49.3 49.5
Rebounds - Defensive 36.1 39.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 10.3
Turnovers 11.8 12.0
Blocked Shots 3.9 5.7
Steals 6.2 6.8
Fouls 16.3 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Orlando

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL BOS
Total Possessions 99.4
Effective Scoring Chances 100.7 97.7
% of Possessions with ORL BOS
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 34.7%
Player Fouled 16.1% 16.4%
Turnover 11.9% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL BOS
Shot Blocked 6.7% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 22.2%