NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL ATL
Points 117.2 112.0
Total Points   229.1
Points From 2-Pointers 61.6 55.7
Points From 3-Pointers 36.8 36.5
Points From Free Throws 18.8 19.8
Shooting ORL ATL
Field Goals Made 43.1 40.0
Field Goals Attempted 85.0 86.5
Field Goal % 50.7% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 30.8 27.9
2 Pointers Attempted 52.9 52.6
2 Point Shooting % 58.3% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 12.2
3 Pointers Attempted 32.1 33.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 18.8 19.8
Free Throws Attempted 25.2 24.9
Free Throw % 74.6% 79.2%
Ball Control ORL ATL
Rebounds 49.0 45.2
Rebounds - Defensive 36.8 33.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 12.1
Turnovers 14.0 13.0
Blocked Shots 5.4 4.2
Steals 7.5 7.4
Fouls 18.8 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL ATL
Total Possessions 102.0
Effective Scoring Chances 100.2 101.0
% of Possessions with ORL ATL
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 29.2%
Player Fouled 18.2% 18.4%
Turnover 13.7% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL ATL
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 24.7%