NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL ATL
Points 116.5 110.5
Total Points   227.0
Points From 2-Pointers 61.3 55.2
Points From 3-Pointers 36.0 36.1
Points From Free Throws 19.2 19.1
Shooting ORL ATL
Field Goals Made 42.6 39.6
Field Goals Attempted 84.6 86.0
Field Goal % 50.4% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 30.6 27.6
2 Pointers Attempted 52.5 52.3
2 Point Shooting % 58.4% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 12.0 12.0
3 Pointers Attempted 32.1 33.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 19.2 19.1
Free Throws Attempted 25.5 24.4
Free Throw % 75.6% 78.3%
Ball Control ORL ATL
Rebounds 48.5 45.6
Rebounds - Defensive 37.0 33.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 11.8
Turnovers 13.7 13.7
Blocked Shots 5.4 4.0
Steals 7.8 7.4
Fouls 18.5 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL ATL
Total Possessions 102.1
Effective Scoring Chances 99.9 100.2
% of Possessions with ORL ATL
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 29.0%
Player Fouled 18.7% 18.1%
Turnover 13.4% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL ATL
Shot Blocked 4.7% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 24.2%