NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL CHA
Points 111.1 101.4
Total Points   212.4
Points From 2-Pointers 58.6 53.2
Points From 3-Pointers 34.9 32.9
Points From Free Throws 17.5 15.3
Shooting ORL CHA
Field Goals Made 41.0 37.6
Field Goals Attempted 83.2 81.9
Field Goal % 49.3% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 29.3 26.6
2 Pointers Attempted 50.6 50.3
2 Point Shooting % 57.9% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 11.0
3 Pointers Attempted 32.6 31.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 17.5 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 19.4
Free Throw % 75.6% 78.9%
Ball Control ORL CHA
Rebounds 49.6 41.8
Rebounds - Defensive 37.7 33.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 8.5
Turnovers 13.6 14.3
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.9
Steals 7.3 7.0
Fouls 17.1 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL CHA
Total Possessions 98.9
Effective Scoring Chances 97.3 93.1
% of Possessions with ORL CHA
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 28.9%
Player Fouled 18.0% 17.3%
Turnover 13.7% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL CHA
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 18.4%