NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL CHA
Points 112.1 100.4
Total Points   212.5
Points From 2-Pointers 59.1 53.6
Points From 3-Pointers 35.4 31.8
Points From Free Throws 17.5 15.0
Shooting ORL CHA
Field Goals Made 41.3 37.4
Field Goals Attempted 82.8 82.8
Field Goal % 49.9% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 29.5 26.8
2 Pointers Attempted 50.2 51.6
2 Point Shooting % 58.8% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 32.6 31.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 17.5 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.5 19.2
Free Throw % 74.6% 78.3%
Ball Control ORL CHA
Rebounds 50.2 41.7
Rebounds - Defensive 38.3 32.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 8.9
Turnovers 13.9 14.2
Blocked Shots 4.8 3.8
Steals 7.3 6.9
Fouls 17.1 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL CHA
Total Possessions 99.2
Effective Scoring Chances 97.2 93.9
% of Possessions with ORL CHA
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 28.4%
Player Fouled 18.2% 17.2%
Turnover 14.0% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL CHA
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 18.9%