NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL SAC
Points 107.8 109.7
Total Points   217.6
Points From 2-Pointers 54.7 55.7
Points From 3-Pointers 33.0 37.6
Points From Free Throws 20.1 16.5
Shooting ORL SAC
Field Goals Made 38.4 40.4
Field Goals Attempted 81.4 85.3
Field Goal % 47.1% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 27.3 27.8
2 Pointers Attempted 51.4 50.3
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 11.0 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 30.0 35.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 20.1 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 26.6 22.1
Free Throw % 75.6% 74.6%
Ball Control ORL SAC
Rebounds 47.3 47.0
Rebounds - Defensive 36.9 36.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 10.9
Turnovers 13.9 13.2
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.0
Steals 7.4 7.9
Fouls 17.8 20.3

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL SAC
Total Possessions 100.8
Effective Scoring Chances 97.3 98.4
% of Possessions with ORL SAC
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 30.9%
Player Fouled 20.1% 17.7%
Turnover 13.8% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL SAC
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 22.8%