NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL NY
Points 106.5 106.9
Total Points   213.4
Points From 2-Pointers 56.3 53.7
Points From 3-Pointers 32.4 35.1
Points From Free Throws 17.7 18.1
Shooting ORL NY
Field Goals Made 39.0 38.6
Field Goals Attempted 82.3 83.7
Field Goal % 47.3% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 28.2 26.8
2 Pointers Attempted 51.3 51.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.9% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 10.8 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 31.0 32.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 17.7 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.5 23.2
Free Throw % 75.6% 78.1%
Ball Control ORL NY
Rebounds 46.5 47.4
Rebounds - Defensive 34.7 34.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 12.9
Turnovers 13.2 13.3
Blocked Shots 5.0 3.9
Steals 6.7 7.6
Fouls 18.0 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Orlando

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL NY
Total Possessions 97.9
Effective Scoring Chances 96.5 97.5
% of Possessions with ORL NY
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 28.7%
Player Fouled 18.5% 18.4%
Turnover 13.5% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL NY
Shot Blocked 4.8% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 27.1%