NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL NY
Points 107.3 107.0
Total Points   214.3
Points From 2-Pointers 57.2 54.0
Points From 3-Pointers 32.5 35.1
Points From Free Throws 17.6 17.8
Shooting ORL NY
Field Goals Made 39.5 38.7
Field Goals Attempted 82.5 83.4
Field Goal % 47.8% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 28.6 27.0
2 Pointers Attempted 51.8 51.1
2 Point Shooting % 55.3% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 10.8 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 30.8 32.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 17.6 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 22.9
Free Throw % 75.9% 77.9%
Ball Control ORL NY
Rebounds 46.5 46.6
Rebounds - Defensive 34.6 34.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 12.4
Turnovers 13.3 13.4
Blocked Shots 5.0 3.8
Steals 6.8 7.5
Fouls 17.9 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Orlando

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL NY
Total Possessions 98.0
Effective Scoring Chances 96.6 97.0
% of Possessions with ORL NY
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 28.7%
Player Fouled 18.3% 18.3%
Turnover 13.5% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL NY
Shot Blocked 4.7% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 26.4%