NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL BK
Points 109.1 103.9
Total Points   213.0
Points From 2-Pointers 57.2 51.8
Points From 3-Pointers 33.5 35.0
Points From Free Throws 18.3 17.1
Shooting ORL BK
Field Goals Made 39.8 37.6
Field Goals Attempted 84.3 83.7
Field Goal % 47.2% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 28.6 25.9
2 Pointers Attempted 53.3 50.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.7% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 11.2 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 31.0 33.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 18.3 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 22.4
Free Throw % 75.9% 76.0%
Ball Control ORL BK
Rebounds 49.6 46.5
Rebounds - Defensive 37.8 35.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 10.9
Turnovers 12.6 13.5
Blocked Shots 4.9 4.5
Steals 6.9 6.7
Fouls 17.7 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL BK
Total Possessions 99.4
Effective Scoring Chances 98.6 96.8
% of Possessions with ORL BK
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 29.6%
Player Fouled 18.7% 17.8%
Turnover 12.7% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL BK
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 22.4%