NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL IND
Points 115.1 114.9
Total Points   230.0
Points From 2-Pointers 65.6 64.0
Points From 3-Pointers 27.3 33.8
Points From Free Throws 22.1 17.2
Shooting ORL IND
Field Goals Made 41.9 43.2
Field Goals Attempted 84.0 86.4
Field Goal % 49.9% 50.0%
2 Pointers Made 32.8 32.0
2 Pointers Attempted 58.4 55.2
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 57.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 25.6 31.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 22.1 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 29.6 22.4
Free Throw % 74.6% 76.8%
Ball Control ORL IND
Rebounds 48.8 42.9
Rebounds - Defensive 36.2 33.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 9.5
Turnovers 14.0 13.2
Blocked Shots 5.1 5.2
Steals 6.9 7.6
Fouls 18.4 21.4

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL IND
Total Possessions 102.9
Effective Scoring Chances 101.6 99.2
% of Possessions with ORL IND
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 21.7% 27.3%
Player Fouled 20.8% 17.9%
Turnover 13.6% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL IND
Shot Blocked 6.1% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.4% 20.7%