NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL HOU
Points 111.1 108.6
Total Points   219.7
Points From 2-Pointers 57.7 55.2
Points From 3-Pointers 31.5 34.2
Points From Free Throws 21.8 19.2
Shooting ORL HOU
Field Goals Made 39.4 39.0
Field Goals Attempted 82.8 85.8
Field Goal % 47.6% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 28.9 27.6
2 Pointers Attempted 51.7 52.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.9% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 10.5 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 31.1 33.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 21.8 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 28.8 25.0
Free Throw % 75.9% 76.8%
Ball Control ORL HOU
Rebounds 50.2 46.5
Rebounds - Defensive 38.2 35.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 11.4
Turnovers 13.6 12.8
Blocked Shots 5.4 4.1
Steals 7.3 7.7
Fouls 18.9 20.7

Playing Style Advantage: Houston

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL HOU
Total Possessions 101.6
Effective Scoring Chances 100.1 100.2
% of Possessions with ORL HOU
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 28.8%
Player Fouled 20.4% 18.6%
Turnover 13.3% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL HOU
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 23.0%