NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL SA
Points 110.9 106.3
Total Points   217.2
Points From 2-Pointers 62.0 56.5
Points From 3-Pointers 31.7 33.7
Points From Free Throws 17.2 16.2
Shooting ORL SA
Field Goals Made 41.6 39.5
Field Goals Attempted 87.9 84.6
Field Goal % 47.3% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 31.0 28.2
2 Pointers Attempted 58.2 52.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 10.6 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 29.8 32.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 17.2 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 20.8
Free Throw % 75.9% 77.6%
Ball Control ORL SA
Rebounds 49.2 47.1
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 37.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 10.0
Turnovers 13.1 15.4
Blocked Shots 4.6 5.5
Steals 9.0 7.0
Fouls 17.1 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Orlando

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL SA
Total Possessions 102.3
Effective Scoring Chances 101.0 96.9
% of Possessions with ORL SA
2 Point Attempt 50.0% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 28.5%
Player Fouled 16.6% 16.7%
Turnover 12.8% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL SA
Shot Blocked 6.6% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 21.1%